A couple weeks ago I started a post
regarding predictions for the future of Russia. In that post I said
that their future was intertwined with that of Ukraine and speculated
on two possible scenarios depending on what happened in Ukraine. I
have since come to the conclusion that it will not matter what
happens in Ukraine for the future of Russia. So I am rewriting that
post.
I think we have been witnessing the
slow collapse of Russia for some time, we just didn't realize it.
Since the collapse of the USSR in the 90's Russia has struggled to
improve the lives of the Russian people. And to some degree they
succeeded, with the help of other countries. But what they have not
done, is grow a democratic form of government that is real and
lasting. What they have in place is rule by one man, Vladimir
Putin. So there are no checks to his power. The war he started in
Ukraine is all on him and those who have enabled him.
The reaction to Putin's war by many in the world has been revulsion and sorrow. We are seeing the
destruction of a country, Ukraine, that has worked hard to join the
world community on an equal and productive basis. In Russia we are
seeing a deep schism between her people on what they believe is
happening in Ukraine. One faction sees what Putin wants them to see,
listening only to the propaganda his government has been peddling.
The other faction is more well informed and understands the
heartbreaking tragedy that is occurring in their neighbor and
longtime friend, Ukraine, at the hands of their government.
The West put in place extensive
sanctions against Russia, which will impact the Russian economy. A
large number of companies have shut down operations within Russia.
One of those is McDonald's, one of the first companies to set up shop
in Russia back in the 90's. The Moscow location was mobbed on the
first day, with Russians lining up to try this icon of American
culture. While it is not the healthiest of food Russians came to
appreciate their dedication to food safety and the pleasant
atmosphere within their walls. While you may find some McDonald's
locations open, they are the franchisees who are doing so illegally.
In this one example we see the future, the curtain of darkness
falling over the light of the outside world, along with the criminal
behavior that will increase in the Russian economy.
Putin has put in place a draconian law
that clamps down on free speech, giving a sentence of 15 years in
prison to those who even refer to the situation in Ukraine as a war
or invasion. The independent press was shut down in Russia leaving
only Putin's propaganda network. It is midnight in Russia and people
have started to flee the darkness. We are seeing them here at our
border. The number of Russians trying to enter the United States
started to increase after the detention of Alexei Navalny. While
they may not have predicted the invasion of Ukraine, they knew the
future of Russia.
Within the battle for Ukraine Russia is
targeting civilians, forcing Ukrainians against their will to
evacuate to Russia, bombing humanitarian corridors that they had
agreed to. They have used weapons systems designed to sow terror and
inflict the maximum casualties, such as cluster and thermobaric
bombs. They have escalated by using hypersonic missiles. Because
you see they know they cannot win by using conventional means. Their
equipment has broken down, their soldiers did not even know where
they were in the beginning, and when they did realize, they did not
want to fight against those they have always considered family.
Millions of Ukrainians have fled their
country and are now in Europe, while others stayed to fight for their
homeland and their freedom. I, and many like me, are in awe of their courage and
heartbroken for their plight.
Does Putin really embody the soul of
Russia? I think not. And so, the cracks are widening in Russia. Do
Russians really want to turn their backs on the light and live in
darkness? Is that the future they want? I hope not. Because that
would be echoing the tragedy of Ukraine.
I stand with Ukraine and all those who
fight for their freedom.